SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
44.28% ( 0.28) | 24.26% ( 0.19) | 31.45% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -1.05) | 43.5% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( -1.04) | 65.89% ( 1.04) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.31) | 19.81% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( -0.5) | 51.88% ( 0.5) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0.8) | 26.48% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.33% ( -1.08) | 61.67% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.45% |
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