Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
-0.59) 
0.25) 
