SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Chelsea |
31.8% ( -4.34) | 23.67% ( -0.36) | 44.52% ( 4.7) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% ( 0.58) | 40.58% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.03% ( 0.59) | 62.97% ( -0.59) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -2.17) | 24.85% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -3.12) | 59.44% ( 3.12) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( 2.31) | 18.53% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( 3.76) | 49.76% ( -3.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.64) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.6)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.74)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.54)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.5)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.49) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.73)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.61)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.64)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.39)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.36)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.54% Total : 44.52% |
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