Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
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