SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Leicester City |
36.69% ( 0.93) | 23.88% ( 0.25) | 39.43% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( -1.09) | 40.32% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.3% ( -1.13) | 62.7% ( 1.13) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.02) | 22.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( -0.02) | 55.33% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( -1.01) | 20.66% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( -1.61) | 53.25% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.43% |
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