SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
58.74% ( 0.07) | 21.85% ( -0.01) | 19.41% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( -0.04) | 43.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( -0.03) | 65.96% ( 0.04) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( 0.01) | 14.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.48% ( 0.02) | 42.52% ( -0.01) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.08) | 36.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% ( -0.08) | 73.05% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.41% |
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