Major League Soccer

Jul 17, 2022 at 1am UK

National Sports Center

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
DC United

Reynoso (13', 50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guediri (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 DC United

Rooney still needs a visa before he can be on the sidelines coaching the club that he featured with for two seasons as a player, and should he be available on Saturday, DC will likely get a big psychological boost from his presence alone. However, the 36-year-old cannot solve their issues on the backline overnight, and facing a team who have come alive offensively like the Loons could spell another defeat for DC. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	DC United
59.25% ( -1.16)	22.44% ( 0.68)	18.31% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.26% (

-2.12)

47.74% (

2.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.07% (

-1.99)

69.93% (

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.25% (

-1.09)

15.75% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.14% (

-2.06)

44.86% (

2.06)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.08% (

-0.69)

39.92% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.42% (

-0.64)

76.58% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 59.25%

DC United 18.31%

Draw 22.44%

Minnesota United	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.25%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.31%