SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Minnesota United |
51.34% ( -0.3) | 23.54% ( 0.01) | 25.12% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( 0.2) | 44.41% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 0.19) | 66.78% ( -0.19) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.04) | 17.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( -0.06) | 47.72% ( 0.06) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0.33) | 31.48% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( 0.38) | 67.86% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.34% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 25.12% |
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