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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
45.85% ( 1.96) | 23.5% ( 0.02) | 30.65% ( -1.97) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.94) | 40.27% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( -0.98) | 62.64% ( 0.98) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( 0.42) | 17.86% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( 0.71) | 48.63% ( -0.71) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( -1.64) | 25.4% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.79% ( -2.31) | 60.2% ( 2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.65% |
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