SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 60.78%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | St Louis City |
60.78% ( -0.33) | 19.31% ( 0.08) | 19.91% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 64.67% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.03) | 52.02% ( 0.03) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( -0.09) | 9.92% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.15% ( -0.2) | 32.84% ( 0.2) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.8% ( 0.21) | 28.2% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( 0.26) | 63.89% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.78% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.31% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 19.91% |
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