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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
35.83% ( -0.1) | 24.09% ( -0.05) | 40.08% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( 0.24) | 41.42% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% ( 0.25) | 63.82% ( -0.25) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.06) | 22.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( 0.09) | 56.74% ( -0.08) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.18) | 20.83% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0.28) | 53.51% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.08% |
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