Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.15) 
