Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.