Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Bonfanti (10'), Magnino (23')
Oukhadda (9'), Seculin (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tait (54')
Carretta (37'),
Masiello (41')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Sudtirol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result |
| Modena | Draw | Sudtirol |
48.2% ( -0.01) | 27.76% ( -0) | 24.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.29% ( 0.01) |
| 38.62% ( 0.02) | 61.37% ( -0.01) |
| 18.73% ( 0.01) | 81.27% ( -0.01) |
| 74.35% ( 0) | 25.65% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.46% ( 0) | 60.54% |
| 58.21% ( 0.02) | 41.78% ( -0.02) |
