SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
28.97% ( 0.88) | 24.22% ( 0.26) | 46.81% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( -0.6) | 44.58% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( -0.59) | 66.95% ( 0.59) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( 0.32) | 28.67% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( 0.39) | 64.49% ( -0.39) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.69) | 19.18% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( -1.16) | 50.85% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.81% |
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