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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
T

Montpellier
0 - 3
Toulouse


Nordin (45+2')
Savanier (51')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aboukhlal (5', 8'), King (27')
Casseres Jr (59'), McKenzie (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Angers
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Toulouse

While Montpellier did the double over the opponent last season, they have been exceptionally poor this term, and come into this match following three consecutive defeats during which they conceded 11 times. Indeed, Toulouse have not been great either this season, but they have been solid defensively, allowing only 11 goals to date, and we feel they will be able to take at least a point from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
34.03% (-0.193 -0.19) 25.22% (0.393 0.39) 40.75% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.57% (-1.429 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (-1.835 -1.84)47% (1.826 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-1.735 -1.74)69.25% (1.726 1.73)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)26.59% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-1.328 -1.33)61.81% (1.32 1.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9)22.93% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-1.339 -1.34)56.69% (1.33 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 34.03%
    Toulouse 40.75%
    Draw 25.21%
Montpellier HSCDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.389 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.454 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.445 0.44)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Nantes
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Angers
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, October 5 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Le Havre
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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