Cagliari always find it tough to take points back home from the mainland, but they will rarely have a better opportunity to do so. As Monza are low on confidence and must do without key players, it may take more time for their new coach to make an impact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Cagliari
40.74% ( -0.01)	26.83% ( -0.03)	32.43% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

0.15)

54.18% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

0.13)

75.59% (

-0.12)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

0.07)

26.15% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

0.09)

61.22% (

-0.08)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

0.11)

31.15% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

0.13)

67.48% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Monza 40.74%

Cagliari 32.43%

Draw 26.83%

Monza	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.74%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.43%