Monza have actually fared better on the road than at home this season, and they may take a point home from Turin, as their hosts have issues to fix at both ends of the pitch.
Torino's fast start to the 2024-25 campaign is long forgotten now, and the pressure to produce improved results may count against them when hosting lowly opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.76) 
-1.1) 
