SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
35.86% ( 2.49) | 26.67% ( 0.75) | 37.48% ( -3.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( -2.82) | 53.01% ( 2.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( -2.45) | 74.61% ( 2.46) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0.17) | 28.38% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( 0.22) | 64.12% ( -0.21) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -3.06) | 27.42% ( 3.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( -4.14) | 62.89% ( 4.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.71)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.83)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.56)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.34)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.47% |
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