The stakes are already high in this battle at the bottom of Serie A, and it should be a tight, tense encounter.
Neither side has scored freely this term, so one goal may decide the points' destiny - and hosts Como could claim them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.75) 
-0.79) 
