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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
UL

Monza
1 - 2
Udinese

Kiriakopoulos (47')
Caprari (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lucca (6'), Bijol (70')
Karlstrom (70'), Bravo Solanilla (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Monza
Tuesday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Genoa
Sunday, December 1 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-2 Udinese

Though neither side has impressed of late, the visitors have a more significant threat up front, and their hosts are at a low ebb in terms of confidence. Udinese rank second in Serie A for headed goals (six), while Monza have conceded the most from headers so far (seven), so taking a direct route could see the Friulani secure victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
MonzaDrawUdinese
36.59% (0.064 0.06) 27.89% (0.041 0.04) 35.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.17% (-0.146 -0.15)57.83% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (-0.115 -0.11)78.56% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)30.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)66.46% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.136 -0.14)30.96% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.162 -0.16)67.26% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Monza 36.59%
    Udinese 35.52%
    Draw 27.89%
MonzaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Monza
Tuesday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Como 1-1 Monza
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, November 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Monza
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Genoa
Sunday, December 1 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Udinese
Monday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Udinese
Sunday, November 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Juventus
Saturday, November 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Udinese
Wednesday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-0 Cagliari
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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