Though neither side has impressed of late, the visitors have a more significant threat up front, and their hosts are at a low ebb in terms of confidence.
Udinese rank second in Serie A for headed goals (six), while Monza have conceded the most from headers so far (seven), so taking a direct route could see the Friulani secure victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Udinese in this match.