Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Torino had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Torino
48.71% ( 0.16)	25.29% ( -0.37)	25.99% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

1.61)

51.11% (

-1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

1.4)

72.96% (

-1.39)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

0.73)

21% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

1.12)

53.77% (

-1.12)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

1.05)

34.35% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

1.1)

71.06% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Monza 48.71%

Torino 26%

Draw 25.28%

Monza	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 48.71%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26%