Verona's woes are deepening by the week, with a lack of firepower prompting their tumble towards the drop zone. Monza may be less effective on the road than at home, but they are capable of breaching their hosts' leaky backline more than once and could leave with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
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