SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Monza |
63.15% ( 0.08) | 20.37% ( -0.04) | 16.48% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( 0.09) | 41.79% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( 0.09) | 64.2% ( -0.09) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.38% ( 0.05) | 12.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.27% ( 0.1) | 38.73% ( -0.1) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.44% ( 0.01) | 38.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( 0) | 75.3% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Monza |
| 2-0 @ 10.42% 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 63.14% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.48% |
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