Only Juventus, Fiorentina and Inter have defeated Palladino's team at home this season, signifying that Monza are expected to avoid a loss on Sunday, even if victory over Verona cannot be guaranteed despite the latter's awful road record.
Palladino's men have tended to draw games on their turf this season, and while they could nick a victory, erring on the side of caution seems the safer bet.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
