Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.07) 
