Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.1) 
