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League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
GT

Newport
vs.
Grimsby Town

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We say: Newport County 1-1 Grimsby Town

Grimsby are yet to draw in the league this season, but we believe that run will come to an end on Saturday. Two of the last three League Two contests between these two sides have finished level, and we can see a tight match ending 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 32.85% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
32.85% (4.931 4.93) 25.23% (0.365 0.37) 41.93% (-5.298 -5.3)
Both teams to score 56.19% (1.42 1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.669 0.67)47.35% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.617 0.62)69.57% (-0.619 -0.62)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (3.716 3.72)27.48% (-3.719 -3.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (4.561 4.56)62.98% (-4.563 -4.56)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-2.123 -2.12)22.5% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-3.269 -3.27)56.07% (3.267 3.27)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.85%
    Grimsby Town 41.93%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.582 0.58)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.834 0.83)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.846 0.85)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.65 0.65)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.352 0.35)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.547 0.55)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.295 0.3)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.282 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.885 -0.89)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.484 -0.48)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-1.166 -1.17)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.55 -0.55)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.845 -0.85)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.421 -0.42)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Newport
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-4 Peterborough
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-3 Chesterfield
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Man City U21s (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two


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