Grimsby are yet to draw in the league this season, but we believe that run will come to an end on Saturday. Two of the last three League Two contests between these two sides have finished level, and we can see a tight match ending 1-1.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.16) 
-0.22) 
