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League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
MD

Morecambe
1 - 3
MK Dons

Stott (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tomlinson (2' pen.), Hogan (22'), Kelly (49')
Maguire (7'), Offord (69'), Williams (79')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
28.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 23.14% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 48.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.79% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)62.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)16.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.11%
    MK Dons 48.75%
    Draw 23.13%
MorecambeDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.9%
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.11%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.64%
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.52%
0-4 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.65%
1-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 48.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 4-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Morecambe
Monday, September 23 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Arsenal U21s (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-5 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two


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