The two sides played out a 1-1 draw in July's Taca da Liga fixture before Farense won the subsequent penalty shootout, and while the visitors will want to secure an outright victory this time around, we think that they will settle for a point after losing their opening two away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	SC Farense
46.26% ( -0.01)	25.3% ( 0)	28.44% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.72% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42% (

-0.01)

49.57% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

-0.01)

71.6% (

0.01)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

-0.01)

21.44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55% (

-0.01)

54.45% (

0.01)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

-0)

31.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

-0)

68.03% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 46.25%

SC Farense 28.44%

Draw 25.29%

Moreirense	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.25%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.44%