Buoyed by their resounding victory over Chaves, Farense will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to build on that result. Despite Famalicao's recent struggles, they boast a superior and more experienced squad than the visitors and we see them snatching a narrow win in front of their home fans.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
