SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
21.76% ( -0.25) | 23.46% ( -0.35) | 54.78% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( 1.17) | 47.49% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( 1.07) | 69.7% ( -1.07) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( 0.41) | 36.15% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( 0.42) | 72.93% ( -0.42) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.65) | 17.21% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( 1.13) | 47.5% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.76% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.78% Total : 54.77% |
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