SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
60.33% ( -2.5) | 22.24% ( 0.79) | 17.43% ( 1.71) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.4) | 48.26% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( -0.37) | 70.41% ( 0.36) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( -0.94) | 15.57% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.48% ( -1.78) | 44.52% ( 1.78) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.73% ( 1.93) | 41.27% ( -1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.2% ( 1.67) | 77.79% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.56)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.59)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43% |
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