SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NS Mura | Draw | Aluminij |
48.19% ( -0.9) | 24.27% ( 0.46) | 27.54% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -1.75) | 45.71% ( 1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -1.68) | 68.03% ( 1.68) |
| NS Mura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( -1.04) | 19.06% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( -1.75) | 50.65% ( 1.75) |
| Aluminij Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.58) | 30.28% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( -0.7) | 66.46% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| NS Mura | Draw | Aluminij |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.19% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.54% |
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