SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
51.62% ( -0.4) | 22.95% ( 0.16) | 25.43% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( -0.5) | 41.47% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( -0.5) | 63.87% ( 0.5) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( -0.32) | 16.16% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( -0.59) | 45.61% ( 0.59) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.07) | 29.66% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% ( -0.09) | 65.71% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 25.43% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
