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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NAC Breda |
51.44% ( 0.57) | 23.26% ( -0.11) | 25.29% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( 0.08) | 42.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( 0.08) | 65.39% ( -0.09) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.24) | 16.77% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.28% ( 0.42) | 46.72% ( -0.43) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.32) | 30.57% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( -0.38) | 66.81% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.29% |
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