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Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
N

NAC Breda
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Janosek (81')
Greiml (67'), Van den Bergh (73')
Fernandes (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Verdonk (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NAC Breda 1-1 NEC

While NAC have been poor this season, they have managed to produce good performances at home and this arguably represents their easiest fixture in Breda following matches against Ajax, Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard. However, NEC are coming off an impressive showing against Dutch giants Feyenoord last week, and we feel that they will be able to get something from this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
NAC BredaDrawNEC
36.77% (-1.42 -1.42) 24.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 38.76% (1.399 1.4)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (-0.125 -0.13)43.2% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (-0.125 -0.13)65.6% (0.123 0.12)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.791 -0.79)23.27% (0.791 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-1.17 -1.17)57.2% (1.169 1.17)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.655 0.66)22.25% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (0.977 0.98)55.68% (-0.978 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 36.77%
    NEC 38.76%
    Draw 24.47%
NAC BredaDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 36.77%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.178 0.18)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.192 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.254 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.182 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.094 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 4-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, August 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 18 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, August 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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