SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | NEC |
36.77% ( -1.42) | 24.47% ( 0.02) | 38.76% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.13) | 43.2% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.13) | 65.6% ( 0.12) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( -0.79) | 23.27% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( -1.17) | 57.2% ( 1.17) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.66) | 22.25% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( 0.98) | 55.68% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.76% |
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