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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte

Nacional
0 - 0
Boca Juniors


Andia (25'), Prost (44'), Mancilla (45+3'), Ortiz (47')
FT

Saralegui (18'), Martinez (19'), Anselmino (70'), Brey (84'), Saracchi (86'), Molas (90+4'), W. A. (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawBoca Juniors
47.78% (-1.779 -1.78) 24.18% (0.593 0.59) 28.04% (1.182 1.18)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-1.053 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01% (-1.827 -1.83)44.99% (1.823 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (-1.779 -1.78)67.34% (1.775 1.78)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-1.406 -1.41)18.94% (1.401 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54% (-2.387 -2.39)50.46% (2.382 2.38)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.54% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)65.56% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 47.78%
    Boca Juniors 28.04%
    Draw 24.18%
Nacional PotosiDrawBoca Juniors
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.427 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.205 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.508 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.301 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.04%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: El Nacional 3-1 Nacional
Thursday, February 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-6 El Nacional
Thursday, February 9 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Guabira
Wednesday, April 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guabira 4-1 Nacional
Wednesday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Melgar 0-2 Nacional (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 19 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-2 Racing
Monday, March 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, March 6 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-2 Belgrano
Sunday, March 3 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Boca Juniors
Monday, February 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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