Kenya have put together a solid run of results this year and will be looking to build on their stalemate against Zimbabwe on Tuesday. While we expect Namibia to put up a fight, we are backing the Harambee Stars to come away with a narrow victory at the Orlando Stadium.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
-1.58) 
0.44) 
