SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
35.89% ( 0.94) | 26.24% ( 0.01) | 37.87% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( 0.05) | 51.21% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( 0.05) | 73.05% ( -0.05) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0.59) | 27.49% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( 0.76) | 62.99% ( -0.76) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.5) | 26.35% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( -0.68) | 61.49% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.87% |
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