SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
31.55% ( 1.57) | 26.92% ( -0.13) | 41.53% ( -1.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( 1.05) | 54.77% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( 0.86) | 76.08% ( -0.86) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( 1.68) | 32.05% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% ( 1.86) | 68.52% ( -1.86) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.27) | 26% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.37) | 61.02% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
