While history suggests Nantes have the upper hand in this contest, we believe the overall form of Lens and their balance across the board will enable them to end a lengthy winless drought versus La Maison Jaune at Stade de la Beaujoire.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
1.57) 
-0.13) 
