Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
-0.98) 
1.37) 
