SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
29.32% ( -0.61) | 25.79% ( 0.05) | 44.89% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.5) | 51.13% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.44) | 72.98% ( 0.45) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( -0.7) | 31.77% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.8% ( -0.81) | 68.2% ( 0.82) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 0.05) | 22.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( 0.07) | 56.39% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.88% |
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