SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Chengdu Qianbao win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
63.3% ( -0.05) | 21.06% ( 0.03) | 15.64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( -0.08) | 46.39% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( -0.07) | 68.68% ( 0.08) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( -0.04) | 14.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.46% ( -0.08) | 41.54% ( 0.08) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( -0.01) | 42.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.21% ( -0.01) | 78.79% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 63.29% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.05% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.64% |
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