SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantong Zhiyun would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
54.37% ( -0.18) | 23.09% ( 0.25) | 22.54% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( -1.19) | 45.03% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( -1.15) | 67.38% ( 1.15) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0.49) | 16.47% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.83% ( -0.88) | 46.17% ( 0.88) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( -0.73) | 34.04% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( -0.79) | 70.72% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.37% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 22.54% |
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