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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
RL

Napoli
2 - 2
Roma

Olivera (64'), Osimhen (84' pen.)
Rrahmani (75'), Zambo Anguissa (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dybala (59' pen.), Abraham (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Roma
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-2 Roma

Six of the last seven goals scored in games between Roma and Napoli have arrived after the 75th minute, so history suggests a late winner could be on the cards. The hosts' home record is underwhelming, so the Giallorossi may deepen their misery with a rare win in Naples. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawRoma
49.01% (0.965 0.96) 24.19% (-0.328 -0.33) 26.79% (-0.645 -0.65)
Both teams to score 56.08% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (0.959 0.96)45.88% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (0.901 0.9)68.19% (-0.91 -0.91)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.765 0.77)18.8% (-0.773 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (1.27 1.27)50.21% (-1.279 -1.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.93% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)67.23% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 49.01%
    Roma 26.79%
    Draw 24.19%
NapoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.065 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.123 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 49.01%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 26.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Frosinone
Sunday, April 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-4 Napoli
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Napoli
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Roma
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-3 Bologna
Monday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A


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