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Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
IM

Nashville
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Picault (33'), MacNaughton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arroyo (90+3')
Negri (18'), Arroyo (52'), Neville (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Inter Miami

Both teams head into this match with a lot of confidence due to the unbeaten runs that they have created as of late which should lead to a close contest. Inter Miami have proven recently that they have no problem defeating teams near the top of the table, but their away form could prove to be costly in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawInter Miami
58.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.99% (0.026 0.03) 18.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)50.08% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)72.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)16.74% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)46.65% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)41.35% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)77.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 58.74%
    Inter Miami 18.26%
    Draw 22.99%
Nashville SCDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.74%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 18.26%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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