We can see Houston edging this contest and preserving their 100% record at home this weekend.
Miami are struggling to turn their possession into wins and have endured a torrid time on the road so far this season.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.
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