DC United are definitely a much-improved side this season, but recent form has been disappointing, losing their last two matches, the most recent of which against a NY Red Bulls side that are bottom of the Eastern Conference.
As such, we expect Nashville SC to continue their impressive form and chalk up another victory, while they are also likely to keep a clean sheet in the process given their fantastic defensive record.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
