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Old Firm derby: 15 hrs 55 mins
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Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
CF

Nashville
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
Lovitz (29'), Bunbury (56'), Moore (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Koutsias (36'), Omsberg (52'), Burks (67'), Aceves (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-1 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire have made drastic improvements to their performances as of late, and that should lead to them proving to be tough opponents this weekend. However, Nashville SC should have enough quality, especially with their defensive stability, to secure three points here.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
53.91% (0.0049999999999955 0) 23.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.18%
Both teams to score 52% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (0.007000000000005 0.01)48.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)70.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.96% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)36.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)73.32%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.91%
    Chicago Fire 22.18%
    Draw 23.9%
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.66%
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.91%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 22.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 23 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 DC United
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-3 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer


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